Melhus 2-0 Trygg/Lade — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 9 Sep 2024

📅09/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.8
Away
35%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.17
Over 2.5
66%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.31
No
35%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
23%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
33%
+0.0pp
32%
Draw
22%
+9.2pp
35%
Away Win
45%
-9.3pp
34%
Under 2.5
28%
+6.1pp
66%
Over 2.5
72%
-6.1pp
65%
BTTS Yes
72%
-7.3pp
35%
BTTS No
28%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melhus EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Trygg/Lade EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.04/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.44
+7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melhus
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Trygg/Lade
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2024 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade 0-0 HT 0-0 Melhus Melhus NOR4
13.08.2022 Melhus Melhus 0-3 HT 0-0 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade NOR4
18.06.2022 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade 0-1 HT 0-1 Melhus Melhus NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melhus
2-0
AWAY Trygg/Lade
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Melhus vs Trygg/Lade
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melhus saw off Trygg/Lade 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 35% — and on the day Melhus made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Melhus had 31% of the ball to Trygg/Lade's 69%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Melhus and 1.00 for Trygg/Lade.

What was the final score of Melhus vs Trygg/Lade?

Melhus 2-0 Trygg/Lade in the Norway - 3rd Division on 09/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melhus vs Trygg/Lade?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trygg/Lade win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Melhus 33%, draw 32%, Trygg/Lade 35%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Trygg/Lade) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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