Frigg 4-2 Sarpsborg 08 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 9 Sep 2024

📅09/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.45
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
15%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.32
No
42%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
11%
11.85
2-3 Goals
32%
2.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
44%
2.3
6+ Goals
13%
3.03
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.3 — our 44% vs market 37.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 70%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
64%
+3.4pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.4pp
15%
Away Win
18%
-3.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
72%
-13.1pp
42%
BTTS No
28%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frigg EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
3.50/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/3.22
+37% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
391 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frigg
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
15.06.2024 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II 0-2 HT 0-2 Frigg Frigg NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frigg
4-2
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Frigg vs Sarpsborg 08 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frigg saw off Sarpsborg 08 II 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Frigg as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Frigg had 47% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08 II's 53%, shots finished 16-6.

What was the final score of Frigg vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

Frigg 4-2 Sarpsborg 08 II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 09/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frigg vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Frigg win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Frigg 68%, draw 18%, Sarpsborg 08 II 15%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Frigg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Frigg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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