Yokohama F. Marinos 1-3 Nagoya Grampus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 9 Oct 2024

Yokohama F. Marinos
1-3 HT 1-2
Nagoya Grampus
📅09/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Japan - League Cup – 2024

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.78
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.23
6+ Goals
12%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.3
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
29.0
1/X
7%
12.35
X/1
12%
5.34
X/2
15%
6.19
X/X
12%
4.77
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
15%
4.06
2/X
6%
12.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.0 — our 6% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yokohama F. Marinos v Nagoya Grampus — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.81/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.93
+26% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +43%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 0.9

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Nagoya Grampus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.70 xG 1.26
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
512 Passes 224
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.03.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-1 HT 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
08.07.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-2 HT 1-2 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
29.04.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 1-1 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
01.10.2022 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 0-4 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
07.05.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 HT 1-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
18.09.2021 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-1 HT 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP

Yokohama F. Marinos 1-3 Nagoya Grampus — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
1-3
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Nagoya Grampus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nagoya Grampus saw off Yokohama F. Marinos 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Nagoya Grampus found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 59% of the ball to Nagoya Grampus's 41%, shots finished 16-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.33 for Nagoya Grampus.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Nagoya Grampus?

Yokohama F. Marinos 1-3 Nagoya Grampus in the Japan - League Cup on 09/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Nagoya Grampus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 39%, draw 25%, Nagoya Grampus 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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