Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 9 Oct 2024

📅09/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.66
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.25
Over 2.5
34%
3.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.75
No
61%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
26%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
39%
+5.0pp
31%
Draw
34%
-3.0pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
76%
-10.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
24%
+10.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
32%
+6.5pp
61%
BTTS No
68%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 30%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.31/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/0.70
-77% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +93%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Millonarios
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.62 xG 1.06
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
270 Passes 305
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.10.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOLK
21.07.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
23.05.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
20.05.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
29.01.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
16.09.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 3-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
POST-MATCH Atletico Bucaramanga vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga and Millonarios shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Bucaramanga at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Atletico Bucaramanga and 0.67 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs Millonarios?

Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 Millonarios in the Colombia - Cup on 09/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 44%, draw 31%, Millonarios 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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