Millonarios 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+8.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.7pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millonarios EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +17%
1.24/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.36
-11% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +31%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.3
20.3 Crosses 10.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millonarios
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.05 xG 0.74
53% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
312 Passes 274
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
23.05.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
20.05.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
29.01.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
16.09.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 3-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
18.08.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOLK
11.08.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 3-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millonarios
1-0
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
1.10 xG 0.11
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
276 Passes 257
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 5
21 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Millonarios vs Atletico Bucaramanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios nicked a narrow win over Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Millonarios as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Millonarios had 53% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 47%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 1.10 to 0.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Millonarios and 0.33 for Atletico Bucaramanga.

What was the final score of Millonarios vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Millonarios 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millonarios vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 47%, draw 27%, Atletico Bucaramanga 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Millonarios) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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