Envigado 0-1 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 21 Jul 2024

Envigado
0-1 HT 0-1
Santa Fe
📅21/07/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Envigado vs Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.0pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.4pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.1pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Envigado v Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Envigado EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 46%
+5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
0.94/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.06
+15% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
13.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
12.5 Crosses 16.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9

Envigado vs Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Envigado
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Santa Fe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.76 xG 0.91
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
284 Passes 326
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.01.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-1 HT 2-1 Envigado Envigado KOL
24.08.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
05.03.2023 Envigado Envigado 3-2 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
03.10.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
10.04.2022 Envigado Envigado 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
25.09.2021 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-1 HT 1-1 Envigado Envigado KOL

Envigado 0-1 Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Envigado
0-1
AWAY Santa Fe
0.56 xG 1.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
288 Passes 250
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
13 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Envigado vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe squeezed past Envigado 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Envigado had 52% of the ball to Santa Fe's 48%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 0.56 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Envigado and 1.83 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Envigado vs Santa Fe?

Envigado 0-1 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Envigado vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Envigado 30%, draw 30%, Santa Fe 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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