Oxford City 1-1 Scarborough Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
42%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.47
6+ Goals
12%
13.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.47 — our 24% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
42%
-11.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
42%
Away Win
33%
+8.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Scarborough Athletic EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -2%
1.70/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.50
+21% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oxford City
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Scarborough Athletic
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.10.2023 Oxford City Oxford City 2-3 HT 0-2 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic FAK
14.10.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 2-2 HT 1-0 Oxford City Oxford City FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford City
1-1
AWAY Scarborough Athletic
60% Ball Possession 40%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Oxford City vs Scarborough Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oxford City and Scarborough Athletic couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Scarborough Athletic at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Oxford City had 60% of the ball to Scarborough Athletic's 40%, shots finished 6-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Scarborough Athletic led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Oxford City and 2.50 for Scarborough Athletic.

What was the final score of Oxford City vs Scarborough Athletic?

Oxford City 1-1 Scarborough Athletic in the England - Conference on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford City vs Scarborough Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Scarborough Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Oxford City 30%, draw 28%, Scarborough Athletic 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Scarborough Athletic), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Scarborough Athletic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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