Weymouth 1-1 St. Albans City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.84
6+ Goals
8%
16.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 30% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.9pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.5pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weymouth EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Albans City EU Bookmakers 38%
-12% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +5%
1.30/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.02
-2% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weymouth
1W-2D-3L
AWAY St. Albans City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.02.2024 Weymouth Weymouth 3-3 HT 1-2 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
05.08.2023 St. Albans City St. Albans City 2-1 HT 1-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
18.02.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
08.11.2022 St. Albans City St. Albans City 3-2 HT 2-0 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
21.12.2019 Weymouth Weymouth 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
14.09.2019 St. Albans City St. Albans City 1-4 HT 1-2 Weymouth Weymouth İCON
POST-MATCH Weymouth vs St. Albans City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weymouth and St. Albans City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Albans City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Weymouth and 1.67 for St. Albans City.

What was the final score of Weymouth vs St. Albans City?

Weymouth 1-1 St. Albans City in the England - Conference on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weymouth vs St. Albans City?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Albans City win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Weymouth 33%, draw 32%, St. Albans City 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (St. Albans City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Albans City) ✓ Under 2.5
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