Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-0 Elgin City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
18.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 29% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
21%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.6pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.8pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Elgin City EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
0.97/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.57
-31% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
177 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 182 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Elgin City
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
6 Corners 3
14.09.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 2-1 HT 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
09.03.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 1-0 HT 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
06.02.2024 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
11.11.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 2-0 HT 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
02.09.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 5-1 HT 2-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
06.05.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 3-0 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
POST-MATCH Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Elgin City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic beat Elgin City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic and 1.00 for Elgin City.

What was the final score of Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Elgin City?

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-0 Elgin City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Elgin City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 43%, draw 21%, Elgin City 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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