Elgin City 2-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 14 Sep 2024

Elgin City
2-1 HT 0-0
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Elgin City vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.02
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.87
6+ Goals
8%
17.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 28% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-6.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+8.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elgin City v Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elgin City EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +2%
1.24/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.03
-13% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +43%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
439 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Elgin City vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elgin City
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
3 Corners 6
The Meetings
09.03.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 1-0 HT 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
06.02.2024 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-0 HT 1-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
11.11.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 2-0 HT 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
02.09.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 5-1 HT 2-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
06.05.2023 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 3-0 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
04.03.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 0-1 HT 0-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
POST-MATCH Elgin City vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elgin City edged past Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Elgin City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Elgin City and 1.83 for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic.

What was the final score of Elgin City vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

Elgin City 2-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elgin City vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elgin City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 40%, draw 24%, Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elgin City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elgin City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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