Spartans 1-0 Forfar Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.64
Over 2.5
52%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.62
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
4.49
6+ Goals
10%
23.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.49 — our 24% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
57%
-9.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
43%
+9.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartans EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 28%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -4%
1.29/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.03
-24% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +44%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartans
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Forfar Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
23.07.2024 Spartans Spartans 1-0 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İKLK
30.03.2024 Spartans Spartans 1-0 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
03.02.2024 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
09.12.2023 Spartans Spartans 1-0 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
16.09.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-2 HT 1-2 Spartans Spartans İK2
POST-MATCH Spartans vs Forfar Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartans edged past Forfar Athletic 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spartans as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Spartans had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Spartans and 0.60 for Forfar Athletic.

What was the final score of Spartans vs Forfar Athletic?

Spartans 1-0 Forfar Athletic in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartans vs Forfar Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Spartans 43%, draw 29%, Forfar Athletic 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartans), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartans) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İK2 More Scotland - 2nd Division
14 Sep 2024
17:00 Stranraer vs East Fife Analysis →
17:00 Elgin City vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Analysis →
17:00 Peterhead vs Stirling Albion Analysis →
17:00 Clyde vs Edinburgh City Analysis →