Peterhead 2-1 Stirling Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.8
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
33%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.71
Over 2.5
52%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.95
No
44%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.81
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
22%
4.15
6+ Goals
11%
20.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.15 — our 22% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
52%
-16.8pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.9pp
33%
Away Win
23%
+9.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
55%
-6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
45%
+6.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.9pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterhead EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Stirling Albion EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.68/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.50
+1% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterhead
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Stirling Albion
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
23.07.2022 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 3-0 HT 1-0 Peterhead Peterhead İKLK
24.07.2021 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 3-1 HT 2-1 Peterhead Peterhead İKLK
27.04.2019 Peterhead Peterhead 1-1 HT 1-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
23.02.2019 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 0-1 HT 0-1 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
22.12.2018 Peterhead Peterhead 4-1 HT 2-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
25.08.2018 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 0-2 HT 0-1 Peterhead Peterhead İK2
POST-MATCH Peterhead vs Stirling Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterhead squeezed past Stirling Albion 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 33% — and on the day Peterhead made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterhead had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Peterhead and 1.33 for Stirling Albion.

What was the final score of Peterhead vs Stirling Albion?

Peterhead 2-1 Stirling Albion in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterhead vs Stirling Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterhead win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Peterhead 35%, draw 32%, Stirling Albion 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peterhead), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Peterhead) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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