Gainsborough Trinity 3-0 Workington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.5pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.0pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Workington EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
2.56/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/2.36
+24% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
416 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Workington
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
23.03.2024 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 4-2 HT 3-0 Workington Workington İNGNLP
21.10.2023 Workington Workington 2-3 HT 1-1 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
3-0
AWAY Workington
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 2
4 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gainsborough Trinity vs Workington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity ran out comfortable winners over Workington 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gainsborough Trinity as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Gainsborough Trinity had 62% of the ball to Workington's 38%, shots finished 11-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gainsborough Trinity had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Gainsborough Trinity and 2.00 for Workington.

What was the final score of Gainsborough Trinity vs Workington?

Gainsborough Trinity 3-0 Workington in the England - Non League Premier on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainsborough Trinity vs Workington?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gainsborough Trinity win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gainsborough Trinity 51%, draw 28%, Workington 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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