Lancaster City vs Ilkeston Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lancaster City v Ilkeston Town — Team-Based Signals
Lancaster City vs Ilkeston Town Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-4
HT 0-2
Ilkeston Town
İNGNLP
Lancaster City edged past Ilkeston Town 4-3. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Ilkeston Town at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lancaster City and 3.00 for Ilkeston Town.
What was the final score of Lancaster City vs Ilkeston Town?
Lancaster City 4-3 Ilkeston Town in the England - Non League Premier on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lancaster City vs Ilkeston Town?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ilkeston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lancaster City 32%, draw 27%, Ilkeston Town 41%. The final score 4-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.