Thun vs Etoile Carouge Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Thun v Etoile Carouge — Team-Based Signals
Thun vs Etoile Carouge Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Thun 2-1 Etoile Carouge — Actual Match Statistics
Thun nicked a narrow win over Etoile Carouge 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Thun as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Thun had 38% of the ball to Etoile Carouge's 62%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 3.99 to 1.00 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Thun's control.
What was the final score of Thun vs Etoile Carouge?
Thun 2-1 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland Challenge League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Thun vs Etoile Carouge?
Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Thun 52%, draw 25%, Etoile Carouge 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thun) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.