Bellinzona vs Aarau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bellinzona v Aarau — Team-Based Signals
Bellinzona vs Aarau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-2
Bellinzona
İSV2
1-3
HT 0-1
Aarau
İSV2
0-1
HT 0-1
Aarau
İSV2
Bellinzona 1-4 Aarau — Actual Match Statistics
Aarau cruised past Bellinzona 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (30% / 32% / 38%) promised a tight game; Aarau found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Bellinzona had 60% of the ball to Aarau's 40%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.65 to 3.12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bellinzona had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bellinzona and 1.33 for Aarau.
What was the final score of Bellinzona vs Aarau?
Bellinzona 1-4 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs Aarau?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 30%, draw 32%, Aarau 38%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarau), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.