Aarau vs Bellinzona Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aarau v Bellinzona — Team-Based Signals
Aarau vs Bellinzona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-2
Bellinzona
İSV2
1-3
HT 0-1
Aarau
İSV2
0-1
HT 0-1
Aarau
İSV2
2-0
HT 0-0
Bellinzona
İSV2
Aarau 1-2 Bellinzona — Actual Match Statistics
Bellinzona nicked a narrow win over Aarau 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Bellinzona made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Aarau had 65% of the ball to Bellinzona's 35%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.85 to 1.55.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aarau and 1.67 for Bellinzona.
What was the final score of Aarau vs Bellinzona?
Aarau 1-2 Bellinzona in the Switzerland Challenge League on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aarau vs Bellinzona?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bellinzona win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aarau 37%, draw 23%, Bellinzona 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bellinzona), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.