Venezia vs Parma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Venezia v Parma — Team-Based Signals
Venezia vs Parma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Venezia 1-2 Parma — Actual Match Statistics
Parma squeezed past Venezia 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Venezia at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Venezia had 67% of the ball to Parma's 33%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.80 to 0.98.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parma led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Venezia and 1.67 for Parma.
What was the final score of Venezia vs Parma?
Venezia 1-2 Parma in the Italy - Serie A on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Venezia vs Parma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Venezia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Venezia 41%, draw 25%, Parma 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Venezia) went the other way.