Los Angeles FC 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒06:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.6
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
29%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.11
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
11%
14.4
X/1
13%
4.14
X/2
9%
9.69
X/X
9%
5.96
2/1
9%
20.75
2/2
11%
6.81
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-11.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.8pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 24%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
2.02/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.57
+0% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
400 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 78%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
17.4 Crosses 17.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.73 xG 0.98
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
432 Passes 364
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 3-0 HT 2-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
28.10.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
14.10.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-2 HT 0-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
31.07.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-2 HT 0-2 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps CONLK
12.05.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
06.11.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 0-1 HT 0-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles FC
1-0
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
0.82 xG 0.60
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
259 Passes 479
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
28 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles FC nicked a narrow win over Vancouver Whitecaps 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Los Angeles FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Los Angeles FC had 38% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 62%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.82 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Los Angeles FC and 1.17 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

What was the final score of Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Los Angeles FC 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps in the USA - Major League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles FC 46%, draw 26%, Vancouver Whitecaps 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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