Los Angeles FC 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒04:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.79
6+ Goals
13%
7.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.92
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.65
X/1
16%
3.95
X/2
9%
11.1
X/X
12%
6.48
2/1
7%
20.15
2/2
8%
7.85
2/X
5%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.2pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
2.10/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.57
+9% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
17.9 Crosses 17.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles FC
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.71 xG 0.99
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
397 Passes 366
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.10.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-2 HT 0-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
31.07.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-2 HT 0-2 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps CONLK
12.05.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
06.11.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 0-1 HT 0-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
29.10.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 5-2 HT 2-2 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
22.10.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 HT 0-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles FC
2-1
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
1.82 xG 1.11
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
429 Passes 452
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles FC nicked a narrow win over Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Los Angeles FC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Los Angeles FC had 49% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 51%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.82 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Los Angeles FC and 1.00 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

What was the final score of Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Los Angeles FC 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps in the USA - Major League on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles FC 50%, draw 24%, Vancouver Whitecaps 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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