Orlando City 2-0 Charlotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.17
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
3.04
6+ Goals
13%
9.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.32
1/2
10%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
14%
4.3
X/2
8%
8.62
X/X
17%
5.46
2/1
9%
21.85
2/2
10%
6.1
2/X
5%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.78/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.37
+8% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 81%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
18.4 Crosses 15.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Charlotte
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.22 xG 0.82
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
379 Passes 306
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 2-0 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
20.06.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 2-2 HT 1-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
31.08.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 1-1 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
10.05.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 1-0 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABDK
19.03.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 1-2 HT 0-2 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
22.08.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 1-2 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando City
2-0
AWAY Charlotte
1.58 xG 0.81
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
435 Passes 323
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
40 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Orlando City vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando City beat Charlotte 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Orlando City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orlando City had 56% of the ball to Charlotte's 44%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.58 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Orlando City and 1.17 for Charlotte.

What was the final score of Orlando City vs Charlotte?

Orlando City 2-0 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando City vs Charlotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 46%, draw 27%, Charlotte 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orlando City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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