Darmstadt 98 3-1 Hertha Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.75
2-3 Goals
38%
2.03
4-5 Goals
26%
2.61
6+ Goals
13%
6.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.68
1/2
10%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.2
X/1
20%
5.15
X/2
14%
7.42
X/X
9%
5.87
2/1
6%
21.25
2/2
12%
4.46
2/X
7%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.0pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +15%
1.56/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.55
-10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
21.5 Crosses 18.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darmstadt 98
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Hertha Berlin
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
0.36 xG 1.92
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
227 Passes 433
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.10.2018 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-2 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AFK
13.05.2017 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-2 HT 0-2 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
21.12.2016 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 2-0 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1
07.05.2016 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-2 HT 1-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL1
12.12.2015 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-4 HT 0-2 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darmstadt 98
3-1
AWAY Hertha Berlin
2.01 xG 1.70
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 9
388 Passes 353
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 24
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Darmstadt 98 vs Hertha Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darmstadt 98 got the better of Hertha Berlin 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Darmstadt 98 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Darmstadt 98 had 52% of the ball to Hertha Berlin's 48%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 2.01 to 1.70.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Darmstadt 98 and 2.20 for Hertha Berlin.

What was the final score of Darmstadt 98 vs Hertha Berlin?

Darmstadt 98 3-1 Hertha Berlin in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darmstadt 98 vs Hertha Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darmstadt 98 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Darmstadt 98 42%, draw 23%, Hertha Berlin 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Darmstadt 98), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Darmstadt 98) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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