Köln 1-0 Greuther Fürth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 9 Nov 2024

Köln
1-0 HT 0-0
Greuther Fürth
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Köln vs Greuther Fürth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.89
Over 2.5
67%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.71
2-3 Goals
34%
2.15
4-5 Goals
32%
2.49
6+ Goals
17%
5.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.63
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.9
X/1
15%
3.88
X/2 EV+ ✗
10%
15.2
X/X
7%
8.14
2/1
8%
19.0
2/2
9%
10.05
2/X
6%
17.8
Value flag · X/2 at 15.2 — our 10% vs market 3.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.2pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.4pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.6pp
33%
Under 2.5
31%
+2.1pp
67%
Over 2.5
69%
-2.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.9pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Köln v Greuther Fürth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 18%
-12% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
2.57/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.78
+31% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
32.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
22.4 Crosses 17.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Köln vs Greuther Fürth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Köln
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Greuther Fürth
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.49 xG 0.61
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
399 Passes 243
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
31 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.02.2022 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-1 HT 0-0 Köln Köln AL1
01.10.2021 Köln Köln 3-1 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL1
06.05.2019 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 0-4 HT 0-3 Köln Köln AL2
01.12.2018 Köln Köln 4-0 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
24.02.2014 Köln Köln 1-1 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
24.08.2013 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 0-0 HT 0-0 Köln Köln AL2

Köln 1-0 Greuther Fürth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Köln
1-0
AWAY Greuther Fürth
1.54 xG 0.57
72% Ball Possession 28%
23 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 4
611 Passes 192
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
45 Box Touches 10
30 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Köln vs Greuther Fürth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln squeezed past Greuther Fürth 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Köln as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Köln had 72% of the ball to Greuther Fürth's 28%, shots finished 23-4, expected goals 1.54 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Köln had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Köln and 0.50 for Greuther Fürth.

What was the final score of Köln vs Greuther Fürth?

Köln 1-0 Greuther Fürth in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln vs Greuther Fürth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Köln 56%, draw 18%, Greuther Fürth 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Köln) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Köln) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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