Carl Zeiss Jena 1-2 Babelsberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +20%
1.41/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.22
-23% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Babelsberg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.02.2024 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 1-1 HT 1-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
16.08.2023 Babelsberg Babelsberg 2-1 HT 2-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
03.12.2022 Babelsberg Babelsberg 0-1 HT 0-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
04.03.2022 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 1-0 HT 0-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
31.08.2021 Babelsberg Babelsberg 0-2 HT 0-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
15.08.2020 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 1-1 HT 1-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Carl Zeiss Jena vs Babelsberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babelsberg squeezed past Carl Zeiss Jena 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Carl Zeiss Jena at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carl Zeiss Jena had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Carl Zeiss Jena and 0.67 for Babelsberg.

What was the final score of Carl Zeiss Jena vs Babelsberg?

Carl Zeiss Jena 1-2 Babelsberg in the Germany - Regional League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carl Zeiss Jena vs Babelsberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carl Zeiss Jena win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Carl Zeiss Jena 47%, draw 25%, Babelsberg 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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