Angers 2-4 PSG — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 9 Nov 2024

Angers
2-4 HT 0-4
PSG
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.18
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
59%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.33
2-3 Goals
39%
1.99
4-5 Goals
27%
2.68
6+ Goals
14%
6.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
14.75
1/2
8%
21.45
1/X
7%
22.3
X/1
6%
19.75
X/2
19%
3.52
X/X
7%
8.32
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
32%
1.48
2/X
9%
22.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
11%
+6.3pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.5pp
59%
Away Win
71%
-11.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.7pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angers EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG EU Bookmakers 75%
-12% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
1.00/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/1.11
-24% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +1%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
216 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 476 · 84%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.9
17.2 Crosses 14.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angers
0W-0D-6L
AWAY PSG
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.05 xG 1.88
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
339 Passes 688
85% Pass Accuracy 91%
16 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.04.2023 Angers Angers 1-2 HT 0-2 PSG PSG FR1
11.01.2023 PSG PSG 2-0 HT 1-0 Angers Angers FR1
20.04.2022 Angers Angers 0-3 HT 0-2 PSG PSG FR1
15.10.2021 PSG PSG 2-1 HT 0-1 Angers Angers FR1
21.04.2021 PSG PSG 5-0 HT 2-0 Angers Angers FRK
16.01.2021 Angers Angers 0-1 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angers
2-4
AWAY PSG
1.07 xG 3.50
30% Ball Possession 70%
10 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 12
6 Corners 8
269 Passes 740
83% Pass Accuracy 92%
22 Box Touches 44
21 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Angers vs PSG
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG beat Angers 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Angers had 30% of the ball to PSG's 70%, shots finished 10-26, expected goals 1.07 to 3.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Angers and 2.50 for PSG.

What was the final score of Angers vs PSG?

Angers 2-4 PSG in the France - Ligue 1 on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angers vs PSG?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Angers 18%, draw 23%, PSG 59%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSG) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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