RC Strasbourg 1-3 Monaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.32
1/2 EV+ ✓
9%
22.3
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
14%
7.74
X/2
13%
4.58
X/X
10%
5.27
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.56
2/X
8%
13.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.3 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-7.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Monaco EU Bookmakers 52%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.13/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.09
+32% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 83%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
16.6 Crosses 16.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RC Strasbourg
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Monaco
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.83 xG 1.53
45% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
309 Passes 402
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 0-1 HT 0-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
20.08.2023 Monaco Monaco 3-0 HT 2-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
02.04.2023 Monaco Monaco 4-3 HT 1-2 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
06.08.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-2 HT 0-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
13.03.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-0 HT 1-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
28.11.2021 Monaco Monaco 1-1 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RC Strasbourg
1-3
AWAY Monaco
0.64 xG 3.89
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 2
286 Passes 425
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH RC Strasbourg vs Monaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monaco got the better of RC Strasbourg 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monaco as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, RC Strasbourg had 42% of the ball to Monaco's 58%, shots finished 5-19, expected goals 0.64 to 3.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monaco led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for RC Strasbourg and 1.83 for Monaco.

What was the final score of RC Strasbourg vs Monaco?

RC Strasbourg 1-3 Monaco in the France - Ligue 1 on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RC Strasbourg vs Monaco?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split RC Strasbourg 32%, draw 27%, Monaco 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monaco), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monaco) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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