Lorient vs Guingamp Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lorient v Guingamp — Team-Based Signals
Lorient vs Guingamp Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Lorient
HAZ
1-0
HT 1-0
Lorient
HAZ
2-1
HT 1-1
Lorient
FR2
3-0
HT 1-0
Guingamp
FRK
0-1
HT 0-0
Guingamp
FR2
Lorient 3-1 Guingamp — Actual Match Statistics
Lorient got the better of Guingamp 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lorient as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Lorient had 42% of the ball to Guingamp's 58%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.87 to 1.02.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guingamp led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lorient and 0.83 for Guingamp.
What was the final score of Lorient vs Guingamp?
Lorient 3-1 Guingamp in the France - Ligue 2 on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lorient vs Guingamp?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lorient win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lorient 50%, draw 26%, Guingamp 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorient) — while BTTS No went the other way.