Pau 0-0 Paris FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 9 Nov 2024

Pau
0-0 HT 0-0
Paris FC
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.65
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.31
6+ Goals
9%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.65 — our 31% vs market 22.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.24
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
9%
6.27
X/2
14%
5.09
X/X
11%
4.82
2/1
9%
30.5
2/2
18%
3.17
2/X
8%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-1.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.5pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pau EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris FC EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
1.28/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.04
+5% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 82%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
20.8 Crosses 16.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pau
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Paris FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.04 xG 1.09
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
338 Passes 457
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Paris FC Paris FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Pau Pau FR2
19.08.2023 Pau Pau 2-0 HT 1-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
31.01.2023 Paris FC Paris FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Pau Pau FR2
26.12.2022 Pau Pau 0-1 HT 0-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
19.03.2022 Paris FC Paris FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Pau Pau FR2
16.10.2021 Pau Pau 1-0 HT 1-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pau
0-0
AWAY Paris FC
0.69 xG 1.26
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
220 Passes 534
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 33
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pau vs Paris FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pau and Paris FC fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Pau had 33% of the ball to Paris FC's 67%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 0.69 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pau had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pau and 0.50 for Paris FC.

What was the final score of Pau vs Paris FC?

Pau 0-0 Paris FC in the France - Ligue 2 on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pau vs Paris FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paris FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pau 35%, draw 26%, Paris FC 39%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Paris FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paris FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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