Paris FC vs Pau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Paris FC v Pau — Team-Based Signals
Paris FC vs Pau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Paris FC
FR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Pau
FR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Paris FC
FR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Pau
FR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Paris FC
FR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Paris FC
FR2
Paris FC 1-1 Pau — Actual Match Statistics
Paris FC and Pau couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Paris FC at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Paris FC had 59% of the ball to Pau's 41%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.22 to 1.14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pau led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Paris FC and 1.00 for Pau.
What was the final score of Paris FC vs Pau?
Paris FC 1-1 Pau in the France - Ligue 2 on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Paris FC vs Pau?
Before kick-off our model rated a Paris FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Paris FC 50%, draw 24%, Pau 27%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.