Auxerre 1-0 Angers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.49
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 27% vs market 22.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.24
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.2
X/1
16%
4.02
X/2
9%
8.94
X/X
13%
5.04
2/1
7%
22.9
2/2
11%
6.81
2/X
5%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.3pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auxerre EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Angers EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.52/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.97
+29% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
405 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
22.5 Crosses 31.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auxerre
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Angers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.54 xG 1.15
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
297 Passes 363
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
19.08.2023 Angers Angers 2-2 HT 1-1 Auxerre Auxerre FR2
12.02.2023 Angers Angers 1-1 HT 1-1 Auxerre Auxerre FR1
17.12.2022 Angers Angers 2-2 HT 1-1 Auxerre Auxerre HAZ
14.08.2022 Auxerre Auxerre 2-2 HT 2-1 Angers Angers FR1
02.03.2015 Auxerre Auxerre 0-1 HT 0-0 Angers Angers FR2
23.09.2014 Angers Angers 0-0 HT 0-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auxerre
1-0
AWAY Angers
1.30 xG 0.79
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
375 Passes 385
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Auxerre vs Angers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auxerre edged past Angers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Auxerre as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Auxerre had 50% of the ball to Angers's 50%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 1.30 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Angers led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Auxerre and 1.33 for Angers.

What was the final score of Auxerre vs Angers?

Auxerre 1-0 Angers in the France - Ligue 2 on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auxerre vs Angers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auxerre win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Auxerre 50%, draw 24%, Angers 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auxerre) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Auxerre) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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