Quevilly vs Bastia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Quevilly v Bastia — Team-Based Signals
Quevilly vs Bastia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Quevilly
FR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Quevilly
FR2
1-1
HT 1-0
Bastia
FR2
3-0
HT 1-0
Quevilly
FR2
1-2
HT 0-1
Bastia
FR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Bastia
FR3
Quevilly 0-1 Bastia — Actual Match Statistics
Bastia nicked a narrow win over Quevilly 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Quevilly at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Quevilly had 54% of the ball to Bastia's 46%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.20 to 1.47 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bastia's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bastia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Quevilly and 1.17 for Bastia.
What was the final score of Quevilly vs Bastia?
Quevilly 0-1 Bastia in the France - Ligue 2 on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Quevilly vs Bastia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Quevilly win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Quevilly 44%, draw 28%, Bastia 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Quevilly) went the other way.