Caen 2-0 Amiens SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.47
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
4.7
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.94
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
18%
4.31
X/2
8%
6.75
X/X
14%
3.89
2/1
9%
29.5
2/2
12%
5.51
2/X
8%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caen EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.49/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.44
+15% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
21.2 Crosses 17.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caen
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Amiens SC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.08 xG 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
337 Passes 394
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.12.2023 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Caen Caen FR2
20.05.2023 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-3 HT 1-1 Caen Caen FR2
10.09.2022 Caen Caen 3-1 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
16.04.2022 Caen Caen 1-1 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
06.11.2021 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Caen Caen FR2
05.02.2021 Amiens SC Amiens SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Caen Caen FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caen
2-0
AWAY Amiens SC
0.97 xG 0.71
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 4
353 Passes 328
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Caen vs Amiens SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caen beat Amiens SC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Caen as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Caen had 52% of the ball to Amiens SC's 48%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.97 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Caen had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Caen and 0.50 for Amiens SC.

What was the final score of Caen vs Amiens SC?

Caen 2-0 Amiens SC in the France - Ligue 2 on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caen vs Amiens SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Caen 45%, draw 30%, Amiens SC 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caen), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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