Samtredia 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.04
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
46%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
27%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+1.4pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.0pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-5.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samtredia EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 56%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.47/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.07
+35% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samtredia
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-1 HT 0-1 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
14.05.2024 Samtredia Samtredia 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
30.03.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-1 HT 0-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
07.10.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 3-2 HT 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
05.06.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 3-0 HT 0-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
30.04.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 0-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samtredia
1-1
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Samtredia vs Dinamo Tbilisi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samtredia and Dinamo Tbilisi shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Tbilisi at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Samtredia had 62% of the ball to Dinamo Tbilisi's 38%, shots finished 12-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Tbilisi led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Samtredia and 1.50 for Dinamo Tbilisi.

What was the final score of Samtredia vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Samtredia 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samtredia vs Dinamo Tbilisi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Samtredia 23%, draw 31%, Dinamo Tbilisi 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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