Dinamo Tbilisi 1-1 Samtredia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
67%
-9.6pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.5pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Samtredia EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.89/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.37
-1% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
435 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Samtredia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
65% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2024 Samtredia Samtredia 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
30.03.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 1-1 HT 0-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
07.10.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 3-2 HT 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
05.06.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 3-0 HT 0-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
30.04.2023 Samtredia Samtredia 0-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi GUR
04.03.2023 Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 4-0 HT 2-0 Samtredia Samtredia GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Tbilisi
1-1
AWAY Samtredia
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samtredia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Tbilisi and Samtredia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Dinamo Tbilisi carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Dinamo Tbilisi had 46% of the ball to Samtredia's 54%, shots finished 12-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Tbilisi had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dinamo Tbilisi and 0.67 for Samtredia.

What was the final score of Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samtredia?

Dinamo Tbilisi 1-1 Samtredia in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samtredia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Tbilisi win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Tbilisi 57%, draw 25%, Samtredia 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Tbilisi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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