Dila Gori 1-3 Saburtalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.9pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dila Gori EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.41/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.58
-6% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dila Gori
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Saburtalo
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.05.2024 Saburtalo 1-4 HT 0-3 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
29.03.2024 Dila Gori Dila Gori 3-1 HT 1-1 Saburtalo GUR
28.10.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 3-0 HT 1-0 Saburtalo GUR
24.10.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 0-0 HT 0-0 Saburtalo GURCK
20.08.2023 Saburtalo 1-2 HT 1-1 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
09.05.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 1-1 HT 0-0 Saburtalo GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dila Gori
1-3
AWAY Saburtalo
71% Ball Possession 29%
17 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dila Gori vs Saburtalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo saw off Dila Gori 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was Dila Gori at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dila Gori had 71% of the ball to Saburtalo's 29%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dila Gori had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Dila Gori and 0.67 for Saburtalo.

What was the final score of Dila Gori vs Saburtalo?

Dila Gori 1-3 Saburtalo in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dila Gori vs Saburtalo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dila Gori win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dila Gori 44%, draw 24%, Saburtalo 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dila Gori) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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