Vukovar 5-0 Dugopolje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.5pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+6.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.0pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vukovar EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 18%
-17% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.43/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.26
-12% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
374 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vukovar
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Dugopolje
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Dugopolje Dugopolje 0-1 HT 0-1 Vukovar Vukovar HIR2
20.04.2024 Vukovar Vukovar 1-1 HT 1-0 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
02.12.2023 Dugopolje Dugopolje 1-2 HT 0-2 Vukovar Vukovar HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vukovar
5-0
AWAY Dugopolje
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vukovar vs Dugopolje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vukovar ran out comfortable winners over Dugopolje 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vukovar as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Vukovar had 53% of the ball to Dugopolje's 47%, shots finished 14-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Vukovar had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vukovar and 0.67 for Dugopolje.

What was the final score of Vukovar vs Dugopolje?

Vukovar 5-0 Dugopolje in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vukovar vs Dugopolje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Vukovar 56%, draw 22%, Dugopolje 22%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vukovar), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vukovar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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