AFC Amsterdamsche 2-1 Noordwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.47
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
27%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-10.1pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.3pp
27%
Away Win
16%
+10.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Noordwijk EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
2.60/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/2.42
+26% / +109% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Noordwijk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.02.2024 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche 1-3 HT 1-0 Noordwijk Noordwijk HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
2-1
AWAY Noordwijk
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH AFC Amsterdamsche vs Noordwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Amsterdamsche edged past Noordwijk 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AFC Amsterdamsche as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, AFC Amsterdamsche had 58% of the ball to Noordwijk's 42%, shots finished 18-9.

What was the final score of AFC Amsterdamsche vs Noordwijk?

AFC Amsterdamsche 2-1 Noordwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Amsterdamsche vs Noordwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Amsterdamsche win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split AFC Amsterdamsche 54%, draw 20%, Noordwijk 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Amsterdamsche) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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