Excelsior Maassluis 1-0 HHC Hardenberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
44%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
44%
Away Win
48%
-3.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.1pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY HHC Hardenberg EU Bookmakers 52%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.02/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.56
-21% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
317 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
0W-0D-2L
AWAY HHC Hardenberg
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
3 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 1-0 HT 0-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
19.08.2023 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis 0-1 HT 0-0 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
1-0
AWAY HHC Hardenberg
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Excelsior Maassluis vs HHC Hardenberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior Maassluis edged past HHC Hardenberg 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was HHC Hardenberg at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 38% of the ball to HHC Hardenberg's 62%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, HHC Hardenberg led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Excelsior Maassluis and 1.00 for HHC Hardenberg.

What was the final score of Excelsior Maassluis vs HHC Hardenberg?

Excelsior Maassluis 1-0 HHC Hardenberg in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Maassluis vs HHC Hardenberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an HHC Hardenberg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 27%, draw 29%, HHC Hardenberg 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (HHC Hardenberg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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