Katwijk 2-4 GVVV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 9 Nov 2024

Katwijk
2-4 HT 0-2
GVVV
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katwijk EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY GVVV EU Bookmakers 28%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.80/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.93
-4% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
281 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katwijk
1W-0D-1L
AWAY GVVV
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2024 GVVV GVVV 2-4 HT 1-1 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
30.09.2023 Katwijk Katwijk 0-2 GVVV GVVV HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katwijk
2-4
AWAY GVVV
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Katwijk vs GVVV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GVVV beat Katwijk 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Katwijk at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Katwijk had 54% of the ball to GVVV's 46%, shots finished 13-23.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Katwijk and 2.00 for GVVV.

What was the final score of Katwijk vs GVVV?

Katwijk 2-4 GVVV in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katwijk vs GVVV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Katwijk 47%, draw 22%, GVVV 31%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Katwijk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Katwijk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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