GVVV 2-4 Katwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 2 Mar 2024

GVVV
2-4 HT 1-1
Katwijk
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
29%
+7.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.9pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GVVV EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Katwijk EU Bookmakers 50%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/0.49
-100% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +92%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GVVV
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Katwijk
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
30.09.2023 Katwijk Katwijk 0-2 GVVV GVVV HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GVVV
2-4
AWAY Katwijk
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH GVVV vs Katwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katwijk beat GVVV 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Katwijk as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, GVVV had 54% of the ball to Katwijk's 46%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of GVVV vs Katwijk?

GVVV 2-4 Katwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GVVV vs Katwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split GVVV 36%, draw 23%, Katwijk 42%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katwijk), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Katwijk) ✓ Over 2.5
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