Jong Sparta 2-0 Jong Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.51
Over 2.5
48%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.43
No
54%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.0pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
36%
+16.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
64%
-16.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
66%
-19.7pp
54%
BTTS No
34%
+19.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Almere City EU Bookmakers 42%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
0.76/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/4.00
-43% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -77%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Sparta
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Jong Almere City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
21.11.2023 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 1-1 HT 1-0 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
POST-MATCH Jong Sparta vs Jong Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Sparta got the better of Jong Almere City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Jong Sparta made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Jong Sparta vs Jong Almere City?

Jong Sparta 2-0 Jong Almere City in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Sparta vs Jong Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jong Sparta win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Jong Sparta 38%, draw 24%, Jong Almere City 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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