02/03/2024
·
17:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Jong Sparta vs Jong Almere City Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
24%
Draw
24%
38%
Away Win
38%
52%
Under 2.5
36%
48%
Over 2.5
64%
46%
BTTS Yes
66%
54%
BTTS No
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jong Sparta v Jong Almere City — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Jong Sparta
EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY
Jong Almere City
EU Bookmakers 42%
-17% /
-17%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-52% /
-52%
0.76/1.77
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
3.00/4.00
-43%
/
-22%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+55%
/
-77%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
4
379 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
448 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.3
Yellow Cards
–
Jong Sparta vs Jong Almere City Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Jong Sparta
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Jong Almere City
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
47%
Ball Possession
53%
10
Total Shots
14
2
Shots on Target
4
2
Corners
3
4
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
21.11.2023
Jong Almere City
1-1
HT 1-0
Jong Sparta
HOLTW
1-1
HT 1-0
Jong Sparta
HOLTW
POST-MATCH
Jong Sparta vs Jong Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Jong Sparta got the better of Jong Almere City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Jong Sparta made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
What was the final score of Jong Sparta vs Jong Almere City?
Jong Sparta 2-0 Jong Almere City in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jong Sparta vs Jong Almere City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Jong Sparta win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Jong Sparta 38%, draw 24%, Jong Almere City 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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HOLTW
More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie
2 Mar 2024