Noordwijk 3-2 Lisse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
69%
-6.2pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.3pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+1.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Noordwijk EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Lisse EU Bookmakers 16%
-72% / -72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +56% / +56%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/1.25
-100% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +46%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Noordwijk
3-2
AWAY Lisse
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Noordwijk vs Lisse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Noordwijk squeezed past Lisse 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Noordwijk as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Noordwijk had 52% of the ball to Lisse's 48%, shots finished 15-8.

What was the final score of Noordwijk vs Lisse?

Noordwijk 3-2 Lisse in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Noordwijk vs Lisse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Noordwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Noordwijk 62%, draw 23%, Lisse 15%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Noordwijk), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Noordwijk) ✓ BTTS Yes
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