02/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
2-2
SV Spakenburg vs ACV Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
24%
Draw
19%
25%
Away Win
14%
48%
Under 2.5
38%
52%
Over 2.5
62%
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
50%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
SV Spakenburg v ACV — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
SV Spakenburg
EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY
ACV
EU Bookmakers 17%
+22% /
+22%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+23% /
+23%
2.48/0.74
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.55/2.00
+50%
/
+118%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-8%
/
-12%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
445 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
284 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
3.0
POST-MATCH
SV Spakenburg vs ACV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
SV Spakenburg squeezed past ACV 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SV Spakenburg as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of SV Spakenburg vs ACV?
SV Spakenburg 2-1 ACV in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for SV Spakenburg vs ACV?
Before kick-off our model rated a SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split SV Spakenburg 51%, draw 24%, ACV 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Spakenburg), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (SV Spakenburg)
✓ Over 2.5
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HOLTW
More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie
2 Mar 2024