SV Spakenburg 2-1 ACV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-15.4pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.4pp
25%
Away Win
14%
+11.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY ACV EU Bookmakers 17%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
2.48/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/2.00
+50% / +118% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
445 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH SV Spakenburg vs ACV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Spakenburg squeezed past ACV 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SV Spakenburg as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of SV Spakenburg vs ACV?

SV Spakenburg 2-1 ACV in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Spakenburg vs ACV?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split SV Spakenburg 51%, draw 24%, ACV 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Spakenburg), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SV Spakenburg) ✓ Over 2.5
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