De Treffers 2-5 Jong Sparta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.89
Over 2.5
56%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
51%
-10.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
31%
+13.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
69%
-13.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.3pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME De Treffers EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.00/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/2.18
-50% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME De Treffers
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Jong Sparta
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.02.2024 De Treffers De Treffers 2-1 HT 0-1 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME De Treffers
2-5
AWAY Jong Sparta
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH De Treffers vs Jong Sparta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Sparta swept aside De Treffers 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was De Treffers at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, De Treffers had 56% of the ball to Jong Sparta's 44%, shots finished 15-12.

What was the final score of De Treffers vs Jong Sparta?

De Treffers 2-5 Jong Sparta in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for De Treffers vs Jong Sparta?

Before kick-off our model rated a De Treffers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split De Treffers 41%, draw 25%, Jong Sparta 34%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (De Treffers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (De Treffers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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