Sepahan 1-1 Nassaji Mazandaran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.6
No
63%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2.21
2-3 Goals
34%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.61
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+4.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
34%
+2.3pp
63%
BTTS No
66%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepahan EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Nassaji Mazandaran EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -11%
1.92/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.15
+29% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
377 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sepahan
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Nassaji Mazandaran
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 1
2 Shots on Target 1
12.04.2024 Sepahan Sepahan 0-0 HT 0-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
29.10.2023 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 1-1 HT 0-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
26.01.2023 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 0-1 HT 0-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
18.08.2022 Sepahan Sepahan 2-1 HT 2-1 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
11.03.2022 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 1-3 HT 0-2 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
29.11.2021 Sepahan Sepahan 2-0 HT 1-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
POST-MATCH Sepahan vs Nassaji Mazandaran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepahan and Nassaji Mazandaran couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Sepahan carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepahan had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sepahan and 0.50 for Nassaji Mazandaran.

What was the final score of Sepahan vs Nassaji Mazandaran?

Sepahan 1-1 Nassaji Mazandaran in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepahan vs Nassaji Mazandaran?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sepahan 56%, draw 26%, Nassaji Mazandaran 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sepahan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sepahan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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