Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.6
No
62%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.16
2-3 Goals
46%
1.81
4-5 Goals
15%
5.8
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+8.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
34%
+3.2pp
62%
BTTS No
66%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -3%
1.45/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.64
-10% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
17.10.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-2 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
28.05.2024 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 2-3 HT 1-3 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
06.04.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-2 HT 1-1 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
24.12.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 2-1 HT 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
07.10.2023 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-1 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
30.12.2022 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Mes Rafsanjan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Khuzestan squeezed past Mes Rafsanjan 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Esteghlal Khuzestan as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 1.17 for Mes Rafsanjan.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 49%, draw 27%, Mes Rafsanjan 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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