Santa Fe 2-1 Once Caldas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.51
Over 2.5
33%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.1pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.6pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.2pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 28%
+7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +11%
1.19/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.01
-14% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
20.5 Crosses 14.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Once Caldas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.01 xG 0.75
52% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
283 Passes 266
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-0 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
19.05.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
17.04.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-1 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
08.11.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
31.10.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-1 HT 1-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
15.05.2022 Once Caldas Once Caldas 2-2 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
2-1
AWAY Once Caldas
1.40 xG 0.69
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
250 Passes 213
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Once Caldas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe edged past Once Caldas 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 33% / 27% — and on the day Santa Fe made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santa Fe had 53% of the ball to Once Caldas's 47%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.40 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santa Fe and 0.67 for Once Caldas.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Once Caldas?

Santa Fe 2-1 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Once Caldas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 40%, draw 33%, Once Caldas 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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