Santa Fe vs Once Caldas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santa Fe v Once Caldas — Team-Based Signals
Santa Fe vs Once Caldas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Once Caldas
KOL
2-1
HT 1-1
Once Caldas
KOL
2-2
HT 1-0
Santa Fe
KOL
2-1
HT 1-1
Santa Fe
KOL
Santa Fe 1-0 Once Caldas — Actual Match Statistics
Santa Fe squeezed past Once Caldas 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Santa Fe had 54% of the ball to Once Caldas's 46%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.44 to 0.38.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Santa Fe and 1.00 for Once Caldas.
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Once Caldas?
Santa Fe 1-0 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Once Caldas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 46%, draw 29%, Once Caldas 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.