Deportes Tolima 3-0 La Equidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 24 May 2024

📅24/05/2024 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.0pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY La Equidad EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.31/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.24
-5% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +33%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
18.5 Crosses 12.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Tolima
2W-3D-1L
AWAY La Equidad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.87 xG 1.03
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 Passes 223
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.05.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 2-3 HT 2-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
11.02.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
27.08.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
15.03.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-0 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
22.08.2022 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-1 HT 0-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
10.06.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Tolima
3-0
AWAY La Equidad
2.47 xG 1.43
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 2
323 Passes 238
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 11
6 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportes Tolima vs La Equidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Tolima cruised past La Equidad 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Deportes Tolima had 56% of the ball to La Equidad's 44%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 2.47 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportes Tolima had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportes Tolima and 0.83 for La Equidad.

What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs La Equidad?

Deportes Tolima 3-0 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs La Equidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 51%, draw 24%, La Equidad 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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