Kauno Zalgiris 2-4 Suduva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒17:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Suduva EU Bookmakers 43%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.77/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.16/0.97
+125% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -90% / +73%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Suduva
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Suduva Suduva 1-1 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
19.06.2024 Suduva Suduva 2-2 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
20.04.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 HT 1-1 Suduva Suduva LIT1
26.08.2023 Suduva Suduva 2-6 HT 2-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
22.06.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LITA
23.04.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
2-4
AWAY Suduva
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs Suduva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suduva got the better of Kauno Zalgiris 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Suduva made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 51% of the ball to Suduva's 49%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 1.17 for Suduva.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs Suduva?

Kauno Zalgiris 2-4 Suduva in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs Suduva?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suduva win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 35%, draw 27%, Suduva 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suduva) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Suduva) ✗ Under 2.5
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